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Category: Macro

Krugman on Food Prices

In a pithy blog post last weekend, Paul Krugman explains how the increase in food prices actually came after an increase in the price of other commodities:

“Food was actually a latecomer to the commodity price surge. Overall commodity prices have been rising rapidly since world industrial production bottomed out. Food prices mostly didn’t follow until last summer — which is when the weather started going crazy in Russia and elsewhere.”

I would have liked to read more of Krugman’s thoughts on this topic, but even he admits that that post is mainly a note to himself.

Food Prices and Urban Households

Over the past few weeks, I have written extensively about the twin issues of rising food prices and food price volatility.

It all began with this post, in which I explained the difference between rising food prices and food price volatility and which came as a result of people frequently misusing the concept of food price volatility in the media, both mainstream and social.

US Monetary Policy and Rising Food Prices

According to this Wall Street Journal article, the Chairman of the Federal Reserve, Ben Bernanke, says US monetary policy should not be blamed for rising food prices:

“Bernanke said constraints on supply — such as bad weather — along with increased demand are to blame for pushing up prices for food commodities.

Strong growth in emerging economies is moving millions of people from poverty to the middle class, changing their eating habits — “more beef and less grains and so on,” Bernanke said.

The Fed’s policies are aimed at growing the domestic economy and “to address stability in the United States,” he said. For some foreign countries facing high inflation, “their policies have not been such to keep growth and capacity in balance,” he said.

“I think it’s entirely unfair to attribute excess demand in emerging markets to U.S. monetary policy,” Bernanke said. Those nations can use their own monetary policy and adjust exchange rates to deal with their inflation problems, he said.

I tend to agree wholeheartedly with Bernanke, as many developing countries have a bad track record when it comes to managing inflation. That bad track record is often the result of bad monetary policy.

By the way, what the Chairman of the Federal Reserve describes — the fact that consumers in developing countries substitute protein for carbohydrates as income increases — is generally known as Bennett’s Law.