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Category: Politics

In Which I Talk About Food Prices

While I was in Montreal for the McGill Conference on Global Food Security a few weeks ago, I was interviewed by CKUT — McGill’s student-run radio — for their Health on Earth program.

I spoke with CKUT’s Lorraine Wong about the difference between rising food prices and food price volatility and the social consequences thereof, and about various other food-policy-related topics. Though Lorraine aired the interview unedited, I managed to sound semi-coherent.

Plutocracy in America

Elections are supposed to give us choices. We can reward incumbents or we can throw the bums out. We can choose Republicans or Democrats. We can choose conservative policies or progressive ones.

In most elections, however, we don’t get a say in something important: whether we’re governed by the rich. By Election Day, that choice has usually been made for us. Would you like to be represented by a millionaire lawyer or a millionaire businessman? Even in our great democracy, we rarely have the option to put someone in office who isn’t part of the elite.

That’s my Sanford School colleague Nick Carnes, writing in yesterday’s New York Times.

Nick is a political scientist whose research focuses American politics. White-Collar Government, his book on social class and politics, is forthcoming and is based on the doctoral dissertation he wrote at Princeton.

Two New Papers on Political Power in Africa

First, a new working paper by Patrick Francois et al.:

This paper presents new evidence on the power sharing layout of national political elites in a panel of African countries, most of them autocracies. We present a model of coalition formation across ethnic groups and structurally estimate it employing data on the ethnicity of cabinet ministers since independence. As opposed to the view of a single ethnic elite monolithically controlling power, we show that African ruling coalitions are large and that political power is allocated proportionally to population shares across ethnic groups. This holds true even restricting the analysis to the subsample of the most powerful ministerial posts. We argue that the likelihood of revolutions from outsiders and the threat of coups from insiders are major forces explaining such allocations. Further, over-representation of the ruling ethnic group is quantitatively substantial, but not different from standard formateur premia in parliamentary democracies. We explore theoretically how proportional allocation for the elites of each group may still result in misallocations in the non-elite population.

The emphasis is mine, and in light of my one-observation sample — the 2009 coup d’état in Madagascar — I can’t say that I am surprised.

Second, a new working paper by Rainer and Trebbi:

The study of autocracies and weakly institutionalized countries is plagued by scarcity of information about the relative strength of different players within the political system. This paper presents novel data on the composition of government coalitions in a sample of fifteen post-colonial African countries suited to this task. We emphasize the role of the executive branch as the central fulcrum of all national political systems in our sample, especially relative to other institutional bodies such as the legislative assembly. Leveraging on the impressive body of work documenting the crucial role of ethnic fragmentation as a main driver of political and social friction in Africa, the paper further details the construction of ethnic composition measures for executive cabinets. We discuss how this novel source of information may help shed light on the inner workings of typically opaque African political elites.

Again, the emphasis is mine.