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Month: January 2011

Is China the New Japan?

I grew up in the 1980s and the 1990s. Back then, cultural references to the superiority of the Japanese economic model where everywhere. Most of William Gibson’s Neuromancer takes place in Japan’s Chiba prefecture, which had become a suburb of Tokyo populated with expatriates much like New York or London are today. In John McTiernan’s “Die Hard,” a team of terrorists hijacks the Nakatomi Corporation’s office building in downtown Los Angeles in an effort to steal $640 million in bearer bonds. The first time I visited the United States on my own in 1996, I met people my age who were learning Japanese in college, “to do business with Japan.”

In short, if you grew up in the 1980s and 1990s, some part of your mind probably still equates “Japan” with “economic might.”

Microfinance: The Conversation So Far

I started the year by blogging about microfinance, discussing the institution’s woes after coming across an article in the New York Times that did the same. A few days later, I snarkily posted about the good news being that microfinance research was not as bad as medical research.

I am not an expert on microfinance. The last time I conducted any kind of research on the topic was for my Masters thesis at the Université de Montréal, which I hope no one ever reads given how embarrassingly bad it was. My knowledge of the institution comes from reading working papers and journal articles on the topic, a module on which I teach each fall in my development seminar.

Consequently, a friend of my wife’s and mine who has been working in the microfinance industry for a while now took me to task and wrote a lengthy reply on Facebook to my initial posts. Given how insightful his detailed response was, I asked him if I could blog it, and he agreed under the condition that he remained anonymous. The five most important points he made in his response follow.

  1. The Opposition is Politically Driven
  2. The Evaluation Timeframe Matters,
  3. The Poor Deserve Financial Services
  4. Governments Need to Regulate the Industry
  5. Microfinance is Here to Stay

These five posts represent my very modest contribution — with the help of a friend — to the policy discussion surrounding microfinance. If you have an interest in the topic, I strongly encourage you to follow senior Center for Global Development senior fellow David Roodman’s blog, in which he shares his insights while writing a book on the impacts of microfinance. I have a feeling his book will be required reading in my development seminar when it comes out.

Brookings Africa Growth Forum

Blogging has been light this week because I spent three days in Washington for the Brookings Institution’s first annual Africa Growth Forum, at which I was presenting my paper on the welfare impacts of contract farming. My slides are available here.

The conference was very interesting, as each session tried to include two presentations: one by an African researcher, and one by a non-African researcher. Most of the discussions following presentations focused on the policy implications of the research papers just presented, which was a nice change of pace from the discussions following presentations at most development conferences and development seminars.

My personal highlights of the conference (and it was one of those conferences where I had to make difficult choices as to which session to attend at any given time) were Nathan Nunn’s presentation of his paper showing how gender roles may have originated in whether an ethnic group used the plough, Stefan Dercon’s presentation of his work on insurance for funeral groups (iddir) in Ethiopia, and World Bank managing director Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala’s remarks during dinner on Wednesday, in which she discussed how food price volatility was one of the most important issues facing development policy makers. I wonder whether she meant truly meant food price volatility, and not rising food prices, however.

I also had the pleasure of meeting several people at a tweetup of people with an interest in development policy organized by Owen Barder, where I had great conversations with several like-minded individuals.