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Category: Commentary

Chronocentrism: “This Time It’s Different”

Chronocentrism has been defined by British science journalist Tom Standage as “the egotism that one’s own generation is poised on the very cusp of history.” It is to time what ethnocentrism is to ethnicity.

From Fukuyama’s The End of History and the Last Man — “History is directional, and its endpoint is capitalist liberal democracy” — to Rifkin’s The End of Work — “We are entering a new phase in history, one characterized by the steady and inevitable decline of jobs” — to Millenarians, present-biasedness and the belief that the old rules no longer apply seem insuperable for many people.

Nowhere was this clearer than when the world’s population hit seven billion a few weeks ago. Never mind the past 25 million years of human evolution, during which humans always managed to develop technologies to feed themselves. Never mind the fact that famines are man-made and not directly caused by a lack of food to go around. Never mind all that: many commentators saw fit to inform us that the old rules no longer applied, and that we were about to enter an era of starvation and famine.

The Four Most Dangerous Words in the English Language

But chronocentric policy making can be dangerous. The four most dangerous words of investing — “This time it’s different” — are also the four most dangerous words in the English language.

Going back to the example of the world at seven billion, if you believe we have crossed a special population threshold beyond which we will experience constant starvation and famine, you are probably willing to adopt drastic population-control policies that would curtail the freedom to have as many children as they want many people currently enjoy.

Would that be right? And how confident would you have to be that “this time it’s different” to justify a potential loss of welfare spread out over so many people?

“It’s Okay to Quit the Peace Corps”

So says Alanna Shaikh:

We all make mistakes. I left a job I loved because it was the wrong job for me at that point in my life. I got fired from my very first job out of college. I flaked out on an internship with a woman I respected and I think she still dislikes me as a result. I cancelled an internship with CARE Egypt because I needed to go home already and not be in Cairo any more. And I still got to go have a whole career full of stuff I love to do with brilliant colleagues surrounding me.

You thought Peace Corps was the right fit for you and it’s not. Just fix your error, get out, and find the next step in your life. I really will help you if you like. My email’s right up there.

Don’t do anything drastic. Your life is not over. Neither is your career. Don’t make any dangerous decisions because you feel bad right now. Just get home, wherever that is to you, and find your next step once you get there.

Don’t stay if you fear for your safety, and don’t stay if you’re afraid you’ll harm yourself. Nothing is worth that.

(Image credit: The Urban Alchemist.)

Kim Kardashian and Famine in the Horn of Africa

 

 

Did you really think Kim Kardashian actually thought, said, or did anything significant about the current famine in the Horn of Africa?

If so, let me dispel that notion for you, and draw your attention to this quip by A View from the Cave‘s Tom Murphy, who initially posted it on Facebook:

Fact: The declared famine in the Horn of Africa has lasted 1.57 Kardashian marriages. It will also cost 250 Kardashian weddings to fund the $2.5 billion relief effort.

Tom is also one of the brains behind DAWNS Digest — the acronym stands for “development and aid workers news service” — which is a great resource for anyone working in development. For less than $3 a month, you get the news relevant to your work delivered to your inbox.